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Energy and climate modelling towards net zero emissions

Energy and climate modelling towards net zero emissions

The project will introduce the most up-to-date system of modelling instruments and tools, taking into account not only techno-economic approach, emphasizing detailed technological and economic variables, and system interactions, also over decades, in a formalised quantitative framework, but also socio-technical aspects (institutions, actors, values, technology innovation, etc.) and their interaction over longer time periods (decades) at multiple levels and scales. Although the predefined TIMES model applies two different, and complementary, approaches to modelling energy: a technical engineering approach and an economic approach and combining it with EnergyPlan model, can improve the modelling of the energy system flexibility, several important aspects, especially behaviour aspects cannot be taken into account.  To compensate these shortcomings, this project proposal has proposed innovative approach combining TIMES & EnergyPlan modelling system and National System Dynamics model analysing complex socio-technical transition to zero greenhouse gas energy system. The proposed modelling system together with LULUCF analysis, including sustainable forest development aspects and economic impact analysis with particular emphasis of the competitiveness of other sectors will allow to prepare comprehensive policy analysis and proposals.  The project presents multidisciplinary team including 7 professors from 3 Latvian universities (RTU, LULST, LU) and international steering committee.

PROJECT FUNDED BY:

National Research Program “Energy”

PROJECT DURATION:

From 7th of December 2018 until 6th of December 2021

PROJECT BUDGET:

558 000 EUR

SCIENTIFIC LEADER OF THE PROJECT:

Andra Blumberga

PUBLISHED:

04.01.2019.

SCIENTIFIC COMUNICATION

PUBLISHED  SCIENTIFIC  PAPERS:
  1. Ozoliņa S.A., Pakere I., Jaunzems D., Blumberga A., Grāvelsiņš A., Dubrovskis D., Daģis S. Can energy sector reach carbon neutrality with biomass limitations? (2022) Energy, 249, art. no. 123797. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123797 (Published: 2022.03.18.)
  2. Livzeniece, L., Pubule, J., Blumberga, D. Sustainability Assessment of Wind Energy in Latvia: Sustainability SWOT and Multi-Criteria Analysis (2021) Environmental and Climate Technologies, 25 (1), pp. 1253 – 1269. https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2021-0095 (Published: 2021.12.30.)
  3. Blumberga, A., Gravelsins, A., Blumberga, D. Deliberation Platform for Energy Transition Policies: How to Make Complex Things Simple (2022) Energies,  15 (1), pp. 90.  https://doi.org/10.3390/en15010090, (Published: 2021.12.23.)
  4. Pakere, I., Prodanuks, T., Kamenders, A., Veidenbergs, I., Holler, S., Villere, A., Blumberga, D. Ranking EU climate and energy policies (2021) Environmental and Climate Technologies, 25 (1), pp. 367-381. https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2021-0027, (Published: 2021.07.16.)
  5. Allena-Ozolina, S., Pakere, I., Jaunzems, D., Blumberga, A., Bazbauers, G. Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) Model for Energy Sector Modelling (2020) 2020 IEEE 61th International Scientific Conference on Power and Electrical Engineering of Riga Technical University (RTUCON), pp. 1-7. https://doi.org/10.1109/RTUCON51174.2020.9316623, (Published: 2021.01.13.)
  6. Gancone, A., Pubule, J., Blumberga, D. Valorization Methodology for Agriculture Sector Climate Change Mitigation Measures (2021) Environmental and Climate Technologies, 25 (1), pp. 944-954. https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2021-0071, (Published: 2021.01.01.)
  7. Aboltins, R., Jaunzems, D. Identifying Key Challenges of the National Energy and Climate Plan through Climate Policy Integration Approach (2021) Environmental and Climate Technologies, 25 (1), pp. 1043-1060. https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2021-0079, (Published: 2021.12.04.)
  8. Allena-Ozolina, S., Jaunzems, D., Pakere, I., Blumberga, A., Bazbauers, G. Decarbonisation Pathways of Industry in TIMES Model (2021) Environmental and Climate Technologies, 25 (1), pp. 318-330. https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2021-0023, (Published: 2021.01.01.)
  9. Locmelis, K., Blumberga, A., Bariss, U., Blumberga, D., Balode, L. Industrial energy efficiency towards green deal transition. Case of Latvia (2021) Environmental and Climate Technologies, 25 (1), pp. 42-57. https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2021-0004, (Published: 2021.01.29.)
  10. Aboltins, R., Jaunzems, D., Pubule, J., Blumberga, D. Are hugs, carrots and sticks essential for energy policy: A study of Latvia’s national energy and climate plan (2020) Environmental and Climate Technologies, 24 (2), pp. 309-324. https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2020-0075, (Published: 2020.07.23.)
  11. Jaunzems, D., Pakere, I., Allena-Ozolina, S., Freimanis, R., Blumberga, A., Bazbauers, G. Adaptation of TIMES Model Structure to Industrial, Commercial and Residential Sectors (2020) Environmental and Climate Technologies, 24 ( 1), pp. 392–405. https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2020-0023, (Published: 2020.06.24.)
  12. Aboltins, R., Blumberga, D. Key Factors for Successful Implementation of Energy Efficiency Policy Instruments: A Theoretical Study and the Case of Latvia (2019) Environmental and Climate Technologies, 23 (2), pp. 187-206. https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2019-0063, (Published: 2019.11.18.)
PARTICIPATION IN SCIENTIFIC CONFERENCES:
  • 2020 IEEE 61st International Scientific Conference on Power and Electrical Engineering of Riga Technical University (RTUCON), November 5-7, 2020, online:
    1. prezented research Signe Allena-Ozoliņa, Ieva Pakere, Dzintars Jaunzems, Andra Blumberga, Gatis Bažbauers. Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) Model for Energy Sector Modelling.
  • International Scientific Conference “Environmental and Climate Technologies CONECT 2020”, May 13-15, 2020, online:
    1. prezented research Reinis Āboltiņš, Dzintars Jaunzems, Jeļena Pubule, Dagnija Blumberga. Are hugs, carrots and sticks essential for energy policy: A study of Latvia’s national energy and climate plan;
    2. prezented research Dzintars Jaunzems, Ieva Pakere, Signe Allena-Ozoliņa, Ritvars Freimanis, Andra Blumberga, Gatis Bažbauers. Adaptation of TIMES Model Structure to Industrial, Commercial and Residential Sectors.
  • International Scientific Conference “Environmental and Climate Technologies CONECT 2019”, May 15-17, 2020, Riga, Latvia:
    1. prezented research Reinis Āboltiņš, Dagnija Blumberga. Key Factors for Successful Implementation of Energy Efficiency Policy Instruments: A Theoretical Study and the Case of Latvia.
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