Techno-economic performance and feasibility study of the 5GDHC
technology using agent based modelling and GIS
The 5th Generation District Heating and Cooling (5GDHC) network has great advantages in integration of low temperature resource, bi-directional operation, decentralized energy flows, and possible energy sharing. However, there are research gaps, related to this technology: the lack of a simulation platform for rapid prototyping in different regions, the unknown technical and economic performance in various conditions, and the lack of feasibility study for early opportunities and potential barriers. In the frame of this project, a simulation platform will be developed using agent-based modelling and GIS, to evaluate the technical and economic performance of the 5GDHC technology and study possible applications of the 5GDHC in the Baltic and Nordic regions. It will adopt an integrated multidisciplinary approach by combining technical and economic simulations, technology database, digital-GIS resource mapping, business model optimization and policy-orientated feasibility study for dissemination/replication. The database of available resources will be developed by means of collecting data from a large number of geolocations. A digital numerical mapping approach will be used based on heat maps and QGIS tool to visualize the technical performance of various indicators at simulated locations. A simulation platform, which integrates both the agent-based modelling and GIS, will be further developed based on Python and Urban Modelling Interface tool. Three local market business models for 5GDHC at community level will be designed, which will be optimized based on Nash-type game theory and non-linear objective function. A ‘reverse techno-economic’ simulation will be used to find the ‘break-even points’ for investment. The possible impacts of policy interventions will be investigated through scenario/sensitivity simulations to explore barriers and opportunities for different stakeholders in different regions.
PROJECT FUNDED BY:
Nordic Energy Research
PROJECT DURATION:
From 1st of December 2020 until 1st of December 2022
PROJECT BUDGET:
RTU: 422 000.00 NOK
Total: 1 944 000.00 NOK
SCIENTIFIC LEADER OF THE PROJECT:
Ieva Pakere
PUBLISHED:
17.02.2021.
PROJECT PARTNERS:
Tallinn University of Technology (TalTech), Estonia
Dalarna University (HDa), Sweden
Lithuanian Energy Institute (LEI), Lithuania
Estonian Power and Heat Association, Estonia
Latvian District Heating Association, Latvia
